What's Happening In Newington

260
FXUS61 KOKX 240057
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
757 PM EST Mon Feb 23 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The Blizzard Warnings have been cancelled and an SPS has been
issued.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Impactful winter storm continues to exit the area tonight.
Gusty winds and blowing snow remain possible.

2) A passing warm front will bring some light snow and rain on
Wednesday. A stronger low passing close by will bring additional
wintry precip Thursday into Thursday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...

The intense coastal low that has brought 18-30" of snowfall to
much of the area today will continue to track northeast into the
Canadian Maritimes tonight.

Gusts of 30-40 mph will gradually decrease through the
overnight, becoming more occasional and closer to 20-30 mph late
tonight thru Tuesday aft.

These gusty winds will result in areas of blowing snow and locally
reduced visibilities overnight into the Tuesday morning
commute. Additionally, areas of black ice will be likely across
the area tonight, especially on any untreated surfaces, as
temperatures drop below freezing again tonight. An SPS
highlights these potentials.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...

As a clipper low passes to the north on Wednesday, an
associated warm front should bring some light snow and rain on
Wed. Accumulations should be on the light side, ranging from
less than an inch across Long Island, to around an inch in NYC
and along the CT coastline, to 1-2 inches north/west of there.

A stronger low moving from the OH valley to the lower Great Lakes on
Thu could bring more wintry precip. NBM thermal profiles were mainly
supportive of snow and/or rain. Any snow amts should be light,
no more than an inch or two of snow most places and a light
glaze of ice inland NW of NYC. Either way advisories could be
needed for parts of the interior north/west of I-287 in NJ/NY
and along the I-84 corridor in CT.

High temperatures Tuesday range from the upper 20s to lower 30s,
then trend closer to normal the rest of the week. This will allow
for gradual snow melt each day, and with mostly sub-freezing
temperatures at night into early morning, subsequent re-freeze of
snow melt.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Intense low pressure lifts up through the Canadian maritimes the
next 24 hrs.

VFR conditions overnight, outside of occasional MVFR vsby in
blowing snow for the first half of the overnight. The blowing
snow will decrease after 06z as 25-30kt NW wind gusts
gradually subside and become more occasional. NW wind gusts to
20 kt likely Tuesday mid morning thru afternoon.

Low probability of MVFR cigs Tue AM into afternoon with sct-bkn
030-040 cigs.

Light winds and VFR conditions for Tue eve.


 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

VFR, outside of MVFR blowing snow thru this evening.

.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Tuesday Night-Wednesday: MVFR/IFR likely with light snow likely
developing late Tuesday night, then snow may mix with rain
Wednesday AM, before ending.

Late Thursday/Thursday Night: MVFR/IFR likely with rain/snow
mix possible near coast with snow possible inland.

Friday: Mainly VFR.

Saturday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
A major winter storm continues to move away from the waters
tonight.

Gale Warnings across all waters until 1 AM.

Strong winds with gusts of 30-45 kt will continue to gradually
dissipate this evening and overnight. Seas of 10-15 feet will
fairly quickly diminish overnight so that by Tuesday morning,
ocean seas should be 5-7 feet.

SCA conditions linger into Tue morning on the ern Sound and
Peconic/Gardiners bays, with NW flow still gusting up to 25 kt, and
on the ocean for gusts up to 30 kt for seas 6-8 ft. Some 5-6 ft seas
should linger on the ocean into early Tue evening.

An extended period of SCA cond then likely on the ocean from Wed
into Fri as a series of frontal systems pass through, mainly for
hazardous seas. SW flow 20-25 kt expected on the ocean with warm
frontal approaches daytime Wed and again Thu night.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 1 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-
     345-350-353-355.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MW
AVIATION...NV
MARINE...MW