What's Happening In Newington

135
FXUS61 KOKX 222356
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
756 PM EDT Wed Oct 22 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will continue to lift slowly north across eastern
Canada, while high pressure builds in from the SW through the
end of the week. This will send a series of weak cold fronts or
troughs across the area. High pressure builds in for the beginning
of the weekend, and remains into early next week. A frontal
system approaches the region late Tuesday into Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
A secondary cold front moves through this evening, with another
surge of cooler and drier air that will also help to maintain gusty
winds across much of the area through the night. Despite the change
in air mass, winds will inhibit radiational cooling and keep
temperatures fairly uniform across the area in the 40s...still a few
degrees above climatological normals.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The long wave trough remains over the east, with cold advection
continuing into Thursday into Thursday night. Gusty WSW winds will
continue into the daytime, with temperatures rising into the upper
50s to lower 60s beneath mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies. High
pressure begins to build from the west into the night, allowing the
pressure gradient to relax some. With better radiational cooling,
temperatures will lower into the 30s to mid 40s, and may support
frost across portions of the interior.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A weak surface trough, associated with low pressure well north of
the region, rotates through the area Friday afternoon. The
atmospheric column will be rather dry, especially in the lower
levels, and removed chances for precipitation. If any rain does
occur will be brief and more sprinkles. High pressure then builds
into the area later Friday and remains into the beginning of next
week. This high will bring a cool airmass into the region, with both
daytime highs and nighttime lows running a few degrees, up to 5
degrees, below normal for late October. Inland temperatures will be
in the lower to mid 30s much of the time, with lows Sunday night and
Monday night at or below freezing.

With light winds and mainly clear conditions have added frost to the
weather for the overnights of Friday through Sunday. And there is
the potential for frost Monday night, however, there is the chance
of more cloudiness and frost may not occur. There is uncertainty
with the chances of precipitation for the beginning of next week as
an upper trough amplifies as shortwaves rotate into the longwave
trough across eastern Canada. There will be better chances Tuesday
night into Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Low pressure will continue to lift slowly north across eastern
Canada, while high pressure builds in from the SW through the
end of the week.

VFR through the TAF period.

WSW winds will gradually diminish through the night and settle
around 10kt at the coast and less than 10 kt at the inland
terminals. Gusts along the coast to around 20 kt should become
less frequent as the night progresses or even drop all together.
Winds pick up 14Z-15Z at 10-15kt G20kt.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Gusts may be less frequent the first half of the night.

Onset of gusts on Thursday could be delayed 1-3 hours.

.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Thursday afternoon-Monday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Small craft conditions will gradually subside overnight with the
exception of the eastern ocean waters. With sustained WSW flow,
waters will be slow to subside, and small craft seas will
continue into Thursday night. With high pressure then dominating
Friday into the beginning of next week conditions remain below
SCA levels across the forecast waters. There is a lot of
uncertainty with the timing and placement of low pressure
approaching the waters for Tuesday, and ocean seas and gusts may
be near SCA levels late Monday night into Tuesday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
There are no hydrological concerns throughout entire forecast
period.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ332-
     345.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353.
     Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Thursday for ANZ355.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DW